Language:English
Daniil Medvedev v Juncheng Shang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prediction 80.51%1.24fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -8.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.49%80.30%80.46%82.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2287.72%84.52%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juncheng Shang (Visit)
Prediction 19.49%5.13fair odd
EV +5.44%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 5.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.66%19.70%19.54%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.774.755.4123.81%20.96%21.05%18.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 80.51%; Juncheng Shang (Visit): 19.49%. For Juncheng Shang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.61%E -5.70%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +5.44%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.067% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -3.39%E -2.82%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004% | 2.6% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.376%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.376%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 07:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 08:27 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 07:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 07:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.61%E -5.70%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 09:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV -2.74%E -0.550%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.50%E -0.918%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -3.39%E -2.82%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%EV -4.89%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -5.67%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 09:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.22%E -7.21%K -58.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 07:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.41%E -6.45%K -49.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 09:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 08:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 09:45 |