A Escola das Odds

Daniil Medvedev v Juncheng Shang

Início: 2026-02-24 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Previsão 80.51%1.24odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -8.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.49%80.30%80.46%82.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.181.181.2287.72%84.52%84.75%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juncheng Shang (Visitante)

Previsão 19.49%5.13odd justa
EV +5.44%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.66%19.70%19.54%22.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.774.755.4123.81%20.96%21.05%18.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.61%E -5.70%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +5.44%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.067%4.7%2026-02-24 09:49
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -3.39%E -2.82%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004%2.6%2026-02-24 09:49
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004%3.3%2026-02-24 09:54
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.376%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 08:29
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.376%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 08:24
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 07:14
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 08:27
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 09:54
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 07:14
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 07:34
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.61%E -5.70%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.55%E -0.509%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 09:55
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV -2.74%E -0.550%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 09:55
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.50%E -0.918%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 09:49
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -3.39%E -2.82%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%EV -4.89%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 09:19
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 09:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -5.67%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 09:54
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 09:54
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 09:50
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 09:54
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 09:54
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.22%E -7.21%K -58.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.45%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 09:54
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:50
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:50
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:50
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:49
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:54
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:54
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:54
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 09:54
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 07:09
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 08:24
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.41%E -6.45%K -49.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 09:54
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 08:15
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.19%E -3.52%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 08:24
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 08:24
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 07:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 08:24
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.80%E -4.96%K -34.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 08:24
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.00%E -4.24%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 09:04
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:45
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:44
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:44
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.78%E -1.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-02-24 09:45