Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Fils v Jiri Lehecka

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV +0.090%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.82%43.94%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2847.62%46.37%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visit)

Prediction 56.10%1.78fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.18%56.06%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.701.7360.98%59.17%58.82%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 43.90%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 56.10%. For Arthur Fils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.278. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.280, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.090%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV +0.090%E +0.040%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 12:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.23%E -0.545%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:29
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 12:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.99%E -4.87%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.30%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 12:30
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.18%E -2.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 12:34
DraftKings🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.18%E -2.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 12:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 12:29
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:44
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 12:47
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:49
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 09:49
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 10:04
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 11:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 05:44
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 11:59
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 11:59
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.51%E -2.04%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
NordicBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.37%E -3.49%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:45
Betsson🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.37%E -3.49%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 05:44
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 12:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 12:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 12:00
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-02-24 12:17