L’École des cotes

Arthur Fils v Jiri Lehecka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 43.90%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.090%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.31%43.82%43.94%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.162.152.2847.62%46.37%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.10%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%56.18%56.06%57.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.691.701.7360.98%59.17%58.82%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV +0.090%E +0.040%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 12:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.23%E -0.545%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 11:55
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 08:44
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 01:29
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 12:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 12:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.99%E -4.87%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 11:50
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.30%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 12:30
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.18%E -2.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 12:34
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.18%E -2.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 12:24
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 12:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:45
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:44
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 12:47
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:49
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 09:49
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 10:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 11:59
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 05:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 11:59
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 11:59
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.51%E -2.04%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 12:35
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:55
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 02:54
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.37%E -3.49%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:45
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.37%E -3.49%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 05:44
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 12:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 12:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 12:00
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.43%E -4.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-02-24 12:17