默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zachary Svajda v Mattia Bellucci

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 02:37 UTC

最终结果: Zachary Svajda 0–2 Mattia Bellucci

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zachary Svajda (主队)

预测 62.19%1.61公平赔率
EV -2.37%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -4.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.76%62.20%62.03%63.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.12%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mattia Bellucci (客队)

预测 37.81%2.64公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.649%
Kelly -1.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.25%37.80%37.97%39.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.372.542.542.6042.19%39.38%39.29%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Zachary Svajda (主队):62.19%;Mattia Bellucci (客队):37.81%。 对于“Mattia Bellucci (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.60,期望值为-1.69%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 01:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 02:22
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 02:04
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 02:04
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 02:33
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.38%E -4.38%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 16:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 02:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 17:05
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 02:29
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 02:29
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 02:34
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.34%E -4.93%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.59%E -5.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.83%E -6.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 02:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-14 02:05