Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Zachary Svajda v Mattia Bellucci

Inizio: 2026-08-14 02:37 UTC

Finale: Zachary Svajda 0–2 Mattia Bellucci

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Zachary Svajda (Casa)

Previsione 62.19%1.61quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -4.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.76%62.20%62.03%63.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.12%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.81%2.64quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.649%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.25%37.80%37.97%39.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.372.542.542.6042.19%39.38%39.29%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Zachary Svajda (Casa): 62.19%; Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta): 37.81%. Per Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.64. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.60, con un valore atteso del -1.69%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 01:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 02:22
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 02:04
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 02:04
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 02:33
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.38%E -4.38%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 16:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.649%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 02:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 17:05
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 02:29
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 02:29
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 02:34
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.34%E -4.93%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.59%E -5.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.83%E -6.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 02:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-14 02:05