语言:简体中文
Tommy Paul v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tommy Paul (主队)
预测 78.75%1.27公平赔率
EV -1.56%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -6.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.25
博彩公司预测分布
75.25%78.67%78.95%81.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.68%82.64%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (客队)
预测 21.25%4.71公平赔率
EV +8.16%
优势 +1.60%
Kelly +2.00%
增长率 +0.163%
假设最高赔率为 5.09
博彩公司预测分布
18.82%21.33%21.05%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.354.335.0926.32%22.97%23.09%19.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tommy Paul (主队)：78.75%；Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (客队)：21.25%。 对于“Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.71。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.09，对应+8.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.18%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV +8.16%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.163% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +6.25%E +1.25%K +1.56%G +0.098% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.00%E +0.417%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 02:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.29%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.71%EV +0.090%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 02:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -1.19%E -0.255%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -1.40%E -0.301%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -1.40%E -0.301%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 21:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.25%E -0.489%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.29%E -5.28%K -33.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.25%E -0.489%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.25%E -0.489%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 09:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.46%E -0.536%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.52%E -0.776%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 02:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.35%E -1.90%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 09:33 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.44%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 02:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.50%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 01:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.50%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 02:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.50%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 06:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.56%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 02:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.62%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.62%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 02:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.35%E -1.90%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.69%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.69%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.69%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.87%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 17:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 17:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.25%E -5.07%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.25%E -5.07%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 02:25 |