StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tommy Paul v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Matchstart: 2026-08-18 02:36 UTC

Slutresultat: Tommy Paul 2–1 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tommy Paul (Hemma)

Prognos 78.75%1.27rättvist odds
EV -1.56%
Fördel -1.25%
Kelly -6.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.25%78.67%78.95%81.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.68%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Borta)

Prognos 21.25%4.71rättvist odds
EV +8.16%
Fördel +1.60%
Kelly +2.00%
Tillväxt +0.163%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.09

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.82%21.33%21.05%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.354.335.0926.32%22.97%23.09%19.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tommy Paul (Hemma): 78.75%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Borta): 21.25%. För Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.71. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.09, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.16%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.18%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV +8.16%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.163%4.4%2026-08-18 02:34
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +6.25%E +1.25%K +1.56%G +0.098%4.7%2026-08-18 02:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.00%E +0.417%K +0.527%G +0.011%3.5%2026-08-18 02:29
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.29%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.71%EV +0.090%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 02:29
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -1.19%E -0.255%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -1.40%E -0.301%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -1.40%E -0.301%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 21:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.25%E -0.489%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 02:34
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.29%E -5.28%K -33.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.25%E -0.489%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 02:29
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.25%E -0.489%K -0.624%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 09:29
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.46%E -0.536%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 02:34
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.52%E -0.776%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 02:24
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.35%E -1.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 02:34
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:25
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:29
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:30
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 02:34
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 09:35
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.37%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 09:33
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.44%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 02:30
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.50%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 01:09
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.50%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 02:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.50%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 06:44
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.56%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 02:34
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 02:04
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:34
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:34
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.62%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 02:25
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.62%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 02:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.35%E -1.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.69%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.69%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.69%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 02:35
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:09
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.14%E -2.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:10
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.75%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:49
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.71%E -3.90%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.87%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 13:10
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.93%E -3.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:25
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 17:08
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.00%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 17:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.25%E -5.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 14:24
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.25%E -5.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 14:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-18 02:35
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-18 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-18 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-18 02:15
ProphetX◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-08-18 02:15
Novig◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-08-18 02:30
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%6.3%2026-08-18 02:25