Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Martin Landaluce v Jack Draper

Inizio: 2026-08-13 15:05 UTC

Finale: Martin Landaluce 2–0 Jack Draper

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Martin Landaluce (Casa)

Previsione 30.10%3.32quota equa
EV +3.56%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.33%30.00%30.16%32.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.203.4434.48%31.59%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jack Draper (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.90%1.43quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -5.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%70.00%69.84%71.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.86%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Martin Landaluce (Casa): 30.10%; Jack Draper (Trasferta): 69.90%. Per Martin Landaluce (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.32. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.44, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.56%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +3.56%E +1.03%K +1.46%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 15:00
1xBet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +1.45%E +0.431%K +0.613%G +0.009%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 15:00
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.851%E +0.254%K +0.362%G +0.003%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.24%E -3.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 14:49
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.655%E -0.198%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.46%E -0.760%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 15:00
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -3.06%E -0.951%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 11:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:39
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:30
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:30
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:30
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:30
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:35
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:34
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:04
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:55
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -2.85%E -2.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -2.85%E -2.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 14:15
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:29
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 15:39
DraftKings🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.24%E -3.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 15:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 14:59
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.15%E -1.53%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 14:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-08-13 14:55