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Martin Landaluce v Jack Draper
Resultado del partido
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Predicción 29.11%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.716%
Ventaja +0.207%
Kelly +0.291%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.62%29.19%28.99%31.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.203.4633.33%31.04%31.25%28.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 70.89%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -3.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%70.81%71.01%72.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.351.351.3976.34%74.35%74.07%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Martin Landaluce (Local): 29.11%; Jack Draper (Visitante): 70.89%. Para Martin Landaluce (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.44. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.46, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.716%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV +0.716%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -6.42%E -4.87%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.03%E -0.303%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -1.32%E -0.390%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.42%E -4.87%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.75%EV -1.90%E -0.565%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.25%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.78%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.78%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 19:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.13%E -5.44%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -1.46%E -1.05%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.42%E -4.87%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.43%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.30%E -3.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.71%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 16:40 |
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