Idioma:Español
Martin Landaluce v Jack Draper
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Predicción 30.10%3.32momio equitativo
EV +3.56%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.33%30.00%30.16%32.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.203.4434.48%31.59%31.25%29.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 69.90%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -5.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%70.00%69.84%71.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.86%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Martin Landaluce (Local): 30.10%; Jack Draper (Visitante): 69.90%. Para Martin Landaluce (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.44, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +3.56%E +1.03%K +1.46%G +0.052% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +1.45%E +0.431%K +0.613%G +0.009% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.851%E +0.254%K +0.362%G +0.003% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.24%E -3.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.655%E -0.198%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.46%E -0.760%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -3.06%E -0.951%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 11:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -2.85%E -2.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -2.85%E -2.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.24%E -3.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.15%E -1.53%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 14:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 14:55 |