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Luca Van Assche v Dusan Lajovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luca Van Assche (Local)
assuming max odds 1.38
Dusan Lajovic (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luca Van Assche (Local): 70.59%; Dusan Lajovic (Visit): 29.41%. For Dusan Lajovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.24%E -6.34%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.95%E +0.842%K +1.18%G +0.035% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -2.35%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -2.35%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.59%E -1.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.93%E -0.889%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.93%E -0.889%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.83%E -5.17%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.24%E -6.34%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.28%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 00:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.82%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.82%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.82%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.83%E -5.17%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.82%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |