預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lorenzo Musetti v Frances Tiafoe

開賽時間: 2026-08-21 23:08 UTC

最終賽果: Lorenzo Musetti 0–2 Frances Tiafoe

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

60 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lorenzo Musetti (主隊)

預測 50.13%1.99公平賠率
EV -1.24%
優勢 -0.630%
Kelly -1.28%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.97

博彩公司預測分布
48.28%50.25%50.00%52.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.831.901.901.9754.64%52.59%52.63%50.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Frances Tiafoe (客隊)

預測 49.87%2.01公平賠率
EV -0.262%
優勢 -0.131%
Kelly -0.262%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.00

博彩公司預測分布
47.78%49.75%50.00%51.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.831.891.882.0054.64%52.99%53.05%50.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Lorenzo Musetti (主隊):50.13%;Frances Tiafoe (客隊):49.87%。 對於「Frances Tiafoe (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.01的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.00,期望值為-0.262%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (60 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 22:53
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-21 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 20:59
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 20:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:00
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:00
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:04
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 20:49
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 21:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 20:54
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 21:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 20:49
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 20:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.262%E -0.131%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 22:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-08-21 22:50
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-08-21 22:50
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-08-21 22:55