StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lorenzo Musetti v Frances Tiafoe

Matchstart: 2026-08-21 23:08 UTC

Slutresultat: Lorenzo Musetti 0–2 Frances Tiafoe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lorenzo Musetti (Hemma)

Prognos 50.13%1.99rättvist odds
EV -1.24%
Fördel -0.630%
Kelly -1.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.28%50.25%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.901.901.9754.64%52.59%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Borta)

Prognos 49.87%2.01rättvist odds
EV -0.262%
Fördel -0.131%
Kelly -0.262%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.78%49.75%50.00%51.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.891.882.0054.64%52.99%53.05%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lorenzo Musetti (Hemma): 50.13%; Frances Tiafoe (Borta): 49.87%. För Frances Tiafoe (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.01. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.00, med väntevärdet -0.262%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 22:53
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-21 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 20:59
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 20:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:00
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:00
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:04
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 20:49
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 21:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 20:54
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 21:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 20:49
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 20:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.262%E -0.131%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-08-21 22:50
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-08-21 22:50
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-08-21 22:55