语言:简体中文
Lorenzo Musetti v Frances Tiafoe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lorenzo Musetti (主队)
预测 50.13%1.99公平赔率
EV -1.24%
优势 -0.630%
Kelly -1.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.97
博彩公司预测分布
48.28%50.25%50.00%52.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.901.901.9754.64%52.59%52.63%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frances Tiafoe (客队)
预测 49.87%2.01公平赔率
EV -0.262%
优势 -0.131%
Kelly -0.262%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.78%49.75%50.00%51.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.891.882.0054.64%52.99%53.05%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lorenzo Musetti (主队)：50.13%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：49.87%。 对于“Frances Tiafoe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.00，期望值为-0.262%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 20:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 21:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.262%E -0.131%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:55 |