Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

JJ Wolf v James Duckworth

Início: 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC

Final: JJ Wolf 0–2 James Duckworth

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

JJ Wolf (Local)

Previsão 59.69%1.68odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.919%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%59.67%59.70%61.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.28%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

James Duckworth (Visitante)

Previsão 40.31%2.48odd justa
EV -0.830%
Vantagem -0.337%
Kelly -0.568%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.62%40.33%40.30%42.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.352.4645.45%42.36%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: JJ Wolf (Local): 59.69%; James Duckworth (Visitante): 40.31%. Para James Duckworth (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.48. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.46, com valor esperado de -0.830%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.52%E -0.919%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.71%E -1.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 15:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 15:54
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.09%E -3.55%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:49
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:29
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.830%E -0.337%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.86%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:54
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:43
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:54
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 12:14
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.68%E -5.67%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:16
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.68%E -5.67%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.28%E -6.10%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.87%E -6.54%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 12:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-14 16:10
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-14 16:25
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-14 16:24