Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

JJ Wolf v James Duckworth

2026-08-14 16:10 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

JJ Wolf (Local)

Predicción 61.94%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.96%61.94%63.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.5768.03%65.56%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

James Duckworth (Visitante)

Predicción 38.06%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.167%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.48%38.04%38.06%39.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6242.55%40.18%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: JJ Wolf (Local): 61.94%; James Duckworth (Visitante): 38.06%. Para James Duckworth (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, con un valor esperado de -1.03%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -8.26%E -3.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 08:24
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 08:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 08:56
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 08:56
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 08:56
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.41%E -0.545%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-14 08:39
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 08:24
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.00%E -2.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.03%E -0.397%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 08:56
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 08:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 08:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:29
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:24
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:56
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.86%E -3.85%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.03%E -0.397%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.86%E -3.85%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 08:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.86%E -3.85%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 08:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.03%E -0.397%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 08:29
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 08:59
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 07:09
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 07:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 07:24
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.34%E -5.63%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 08:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.34%E -5.63%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 08:34
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.34%E -5.63%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.34%E -5.63%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.96%E -6.09%K -19.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -2.55%E -0.998%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 08:56
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.96%E -6.09%K -19.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 08:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-08-14 08:56
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-08-14 08:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-08-14 08:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-08-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-08-14 08:56
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-08-14 08:35

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