Idioma:Español
JJ Wolf v James Duckworth
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
JJ Wolf (Local)
Predicción 59.69%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.919%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%59.67%59.70%61.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.28%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
James Duckworth (Visitante)
Predicción 40.31%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.830%
Ventaja -0.337%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.62%40.33%40.30%42.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.4645.45%42.36%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: JJ Wolf (Local): 59.69%; James Duckworth (Visitante): 40.31%. Para James Duckworth (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.46, con un valor esperado de -0.830%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.52%E -0.919%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.71%E -1.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.09%E -3.55%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.830%E -0.337%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.86%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 15:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 15:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.68%E -5.67%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 16:16 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.68%E -5.67%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.28%E -6.10%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.87%E -6.54%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |