Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

JJ Wolf v James Duckworth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC

Score final : JJ Wolf 0–2 James Duckworth

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

JJ Wolf (Local)

Prévision 59.69%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.919%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%59.67%59.70%61.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.28%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

James Duckworth (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.31%2.48cote équitable
EV -0.830%
Avantage -0.337%
Kelly -0.568%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.62%40.33%40.30%42.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.4645.45%42.36%42.55%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : JJ Wolf (Local) : 59.69% ; James Duckworth (Visiteur) : 40.31%. Pour James Duckworth (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.48. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.46, pour une espérance de -0.830% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.52%E -0.919%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.71%E -1.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 15:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 15:54
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.09%E -3.55%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:49
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:29
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.830%E -0.337%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.86%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:54
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:43
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:54
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.30%E -4.13%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 12:14
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.46%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.68%E -5.67%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:16
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.68%E -5.67%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.28%E -6.10%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.87%E -6.54%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 12:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-14 16:10
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-14 16:25
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-14 16:24