Language:English
Jaime Faria v Jenson Brooksby
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prediction 43.72%2.29fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%43.49%44.30%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.152.3548.78%45.95%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jenson Brooksby (Visit)
Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.51%55.70%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.691.7464.52%59.68%59.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 43.72%; Jenson Brooksby (Visit): 56.28%. For Jaime Faria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.75%E +1.17%K +2.04%G +0.056% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.75%E +1.17%K +2.04%G +0.056% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.567%E +0.247%K +0.436%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.567%E +0.247%K +0.436%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.567%E +0.247%K +0.436%G +0.002% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.77%E -8.24%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.06%E -0.918%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.37%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 19:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:47 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:48 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.87%E -3.22%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.30%E -3.45%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.36%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 19:32 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.36%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |