StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaime Faria v Jenson Brooksby

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 23:12 UTC

Endstand: Jaime Faria 2–0 Jenson Brooksby

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaime Faria (Heim)

Prognose 43.72%2.29faire Quote
EV +2.75%
Vorteil +1.17%
Kelly +2.04%
Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.26%43.49%44.30%45.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.182.152.3548.78%45.95%46.51%42.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jenson Brooksby (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.28%1.78faire Quote
EV -2.08%
Vorteil -1.20%
Kelly -2.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.09%56.51%55.70%59.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.681.691.7464.52%59.68%59.35%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jaime Faria (Heim): 43.72%; Jenson Brooksby (Auswärts): 56.28%. Für Jaime Faria (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.29. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.35 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.75%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.75%E +1.17%K +2.04%G +0.056%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.75%E +1.17%K +2.04%G +0.056%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.567%E +0.247%K +0.436%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.567%E +0.247%K +0.436%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.567%E +0.247%K +0.436%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.77%E -8.24%K -23.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 22:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 23:05
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:55
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:44
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 23:09
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.06%E -0.918%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 23:09
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.37%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 10:55
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 19:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 22:48
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 22:47
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 22:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 09:49
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 09:49
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 20:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 19:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 19:44
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 19:45
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 21:19
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:49
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:48
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.43%E -3.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.87%E -3.22%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:59
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.30%E -3.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 23:04
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 22:44
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 22:59
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 09:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.36%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:32
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.36%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 23:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-08-14 23:10
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 22:55
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-14 23:10
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-08-14 23:10