语言:简体中文
Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Frances Tiafoe (主队)
预测 34.60%2.89公平赔率
EV -0.353%
优势 -0.123%
Kelly -0.188%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.88
博彩公司预测分布
32.71%34.57%34.78%36.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.722.752.8839.22%36.75%36.36%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
Felix Auger-Aliassime (客队)
预测 65.40%1.53公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -6.68%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
63.73%65.43%65.22%67.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.22%69.44%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Frances Tiafoe (主队)：34.60%；Felix Auger-Aliassime (客队)：65.40%。 对于“Frances Tiafoe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.89。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.88，期望值为-0.353%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.353%E -0.123%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.05%E -0.365%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.39%E -0.488%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-20 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.74%E -0.612%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 19:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -1.74%E -0.612%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 07:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.08%E -0.736%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.08%E -0.736%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.37%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.16%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 08:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 07:22 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.31%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.31%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.31%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 07:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 07:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 07:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 01:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.77%E -4.62%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |