Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Inizio: 2026-08-20 01:16 UTC

Finale: Frances Tiafoe 2–0 Felix Auger-Aliassime

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frances Tiafoe (Casa)

Previsione 34.60%2.89quota equa
EV -0.353%
Vantaggio -0.123%
Kelly -0.188%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.71%34.57%34.78%36.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.722.752.8839.22%36.75%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.40%1.53quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -2.17%
Kelly -6.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.73%65.43%65.22%67.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.22%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Frances Tiafoe (Casa): 34.60%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta): 65.40%. Per Frances Tiafoe (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.89. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.88, con un valore atteso del -0.353%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.353%E -0.123%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.05%E -0.365%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 00:35
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.39%E -0.488%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-20 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.74%E -0.612%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 19:50
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -1.74%E -0.612%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.08%E -0.736%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.08%E -0.736%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.37%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 01:15
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.16%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 01:15
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 01:15
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 01:14
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:35
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 00:01
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:34
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:35
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:15
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 08:19
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 07:49
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 07:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 01:14
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 07:22
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:10
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 00:25
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 07:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.31%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 07:54
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.31%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.31%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-19 23:45
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 01:09
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 07:24
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 20:34
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 07:24
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.35%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 01:10
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:05
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 01:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.77%E -4.62%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 01:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-20 01:11
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-20 01:11
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-20 01:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-20 01:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-20 01:11
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-08-20 01:11
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-08-20 01:11