StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Marin Cilic

Aanvang: 2026-08-14 20:25 UTC

Eindstand: Daniel Merida Aguilar 2–1 Marin Cilic

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

60 wedaanbieders (20 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)

Prognose 53.39%1.87margevrije odds
EV -1.24%
Voordeel -0.668%
Kelly -1.45%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.85

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
51.07%53.42%53.33%55.70%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.671.781.791.8559.88%56.17%55.71%54.05%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Uit)

Prognose 46.61%2.15margevrije odds
EV -0.246%
Voordeel -0.115%
Kelly -0.216%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.14

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
44.30%46.58%46.67%48.93%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.912.022.002.1452.36%49.44%50.00%46.73%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis): 53.39%; Marin Cilic (Uit): 46.61%. Voor Marin Cilic (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.15. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 2.14, met een verwachtingswaarde van -0.246%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (60 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.24%E -0.668%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:59
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 20:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 05:45
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.84%E -1.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 10:29
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.37%E -1.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 20:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:14
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 19:14
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 06:34
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 06:24
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:32
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:49
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:43
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:14
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:14
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:15
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 12:49
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 20:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 19:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 20:19
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 17:44
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:10
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:54
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:19
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 17:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:33
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 09:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.85%E -6.49%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-14 20:20
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-14 20:20
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-08-14 20:20