Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Brandon Nakashima v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-08-22 22:00 UTC

Finale: Brandon Nakashima 0–2 Frances Tiafoe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Brandon Nakashima (Casa)

Previsione 52.20%1.92quota equa
EV -0.812%
Vantaggio -0.427%
Kelly -0.902%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%52.14%52.22%53.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.821.831.9057.80%54.93%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.80%2.09quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -0.985%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%47.86%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.58%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Brandon Nakashima (Casa): 52.20%; Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta): 47.80%. Per Brandon Nakashima (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.92. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.90, con un valore atteso del -0.812%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.812%E -0.427%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 21:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.86%E -0.987%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.97%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 07:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.86%E -0.987%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 07:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 21:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:10
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.32%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 07:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.32%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 21:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 06:11
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 07:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.23%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.23%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 05:34
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:34
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:54
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 05:15
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 05:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 15:00
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:39
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 03:19
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:14
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 10:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:09
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 05:14
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.02%E -0.985%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 04:55
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.60%E -4.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:13
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 10:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 10:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-22 21:50
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-22 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-08-22 21:55