Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima v Frances Tiafoe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 22:00 UTC

Score final : Brandon Nakashima 0–2 Frances Tiafoe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prévision 52.20%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.812%
Avantage -0.427%
Kelly -0.902%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.14%52.22%53.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.831.9057.80%54.93%54.64%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.80%2.09cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%47.86%47.78%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.58%50.51%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 52.20% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 47.80%. Pour Brandon Nakashima (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.92. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.90, pour une espérance de -0.812% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.812%E -0.427%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 21:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.86%E -0.987%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.97%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 07:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.86%E -0.987%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 07:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 21:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:10
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.32%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 07:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.32%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 21:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 06:11
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 07:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:34
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.23%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.23%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 05:34
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:34
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:54
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 05:15
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 05:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 15:00
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.84%E -2.97%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:39
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 03:19
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:14
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 10:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:09
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 05:14
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.02%E -0.985%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 04:55
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.60%E -4.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:13
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 10:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-22 21:50
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-22 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-22 21:50
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-08-22 21:55