Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima v Frances Tiafoe

2026-08-22 22:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Predicción 52.16%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.19%52.22%53.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.821.831.8957.80%55.06%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Predicción 47.84%2.09momio equitativo
EV -0.492%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.456%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.11%47.81%47.78%48.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.981.982.0852.36%50.50%50.63%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 52.16%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 47.84%. Para Frances Tiafoe (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.09. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.08, con un valor esperado de -0.492%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -1.42%E -0.750%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 07:04
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 07:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 07:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 06:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 07:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 07:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 07:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:14
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 05:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 07:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 07:39
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 06:11
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 07:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:39
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 07:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.15%E -4.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.15%E -4.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 05:34
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:34
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:54
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 06:00
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 05:15
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 05:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 07:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 07:39
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 03:19
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:14
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:09
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 08:13
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 05:15
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 08:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 05:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.492%E -0.237%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 08:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.492%E -0.237%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 08:04
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.492%E -0.237%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 08:05
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.93%E -0.940%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 04:55
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 03:14
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 05:09
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 05:15
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:13
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 05:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.76%E -5.64%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 05:19
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.76%E -5.64%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 05:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-22 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-22 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-22 08:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-22 08:20
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-22 08:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-08-22 08:20
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-08-22 08:15

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