Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Daniil Medvedev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 43.71%2.29fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.00%43.49%43.86%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3648.78%45.29%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 56.29%1.78fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.51%56.14%59.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.671.7361.73%60.21%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 43.71%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 56.29%. For Brandon Nakashima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +3.16%E +1.34%K +2.33%G +0.074% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +3.16%E +1.34%K +2.33%G +0.074% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +0.979%E +0.424%K +0.747%G +0.007% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.21%E -0.534%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.62%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 18:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.70%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.70%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 17:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.62%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 18:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 03:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 18:40 |