StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima v Daniil Medvedev

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Brandon Nakashima 2–1 Daniil Medvedev

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima (Heim)

Prognose 43.71%2.29faire Quote
EV +3.16%
Vorteil +1.34%
Kelly +2.33%
Wachstum +0.074%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.00%43.49%43.86%45.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.212.202.3648.78%45.29%45.45%42.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.29%1.78faire Quote
EV -2.62%
Vorteil -1.52%
Kelly -3.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.67%56.51%56.14%59.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.661.671.7361.73%60.21%59.88%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Brandon Nakashima (Heim): 43.71%; Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts): 56.29%. Für Brandon Nakashima (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.29. 19 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.36 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +3.16%E +1.34%K +2.33%G +0.074%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +3.16%E +1.34%K +2.33%G +0.074%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 18:35
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +0.979%E +0.424%K +0.747%G +0.007%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 18:35
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:34
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.542%E +0.235%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.21%E -0.534%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.62%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 18:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 18:43
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:43
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.64%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 16:30
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.69%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.70%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.70%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 16:30
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 16:30
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 16:15
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:35
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 17:41
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 18:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 18:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.62%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 16:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:40
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 18:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 03:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-18 18:40
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-18 18:40
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-18 18:40
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-08-18 18:40
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-08-18 18:40