Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Início: 2026-08-16 18:52 UTC

Final: Brandon Nakashima 2–0 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 73.18%1.37odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -8.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.43%73.18%73.32%74.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.95%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante)

Previsão 26.82%3.73odd justa
EV +0.582%
Vantagem +0.155%
Kelly +0.212%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%26.82%26.68%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.463.423.7530.77%28.89%29.24%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 73.18%; Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante): 26.82%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.73. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.582%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.582%E +0.155%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 09:59
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.582%E +0.155%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +0.045%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.759%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.759%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.10%E -0.575%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.67%E -2.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 18:49
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:20
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:19
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.53%E -6.82%K -34.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.53%E -6.82%K -34.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 17:15
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:49
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.32%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 18:49
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 18:49
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.73%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:49
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:50
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:47
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:34
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:20
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:18
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-16 18:50
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-16 18:50
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-08-16 18:50
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-16 18:50