Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 18:52 UTC

Score final : Brandon Nakashima 2–0 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prévision 73.18%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -8.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.43%73.18%73.32%74.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.95%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.582%
Avantage +0.155%
Kelly +0.212%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%26.82%26.68%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.463.423.7530.77%28.89%29.24%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 73.18% ; Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visiteur) : 26.82%. Pour Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.73. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.582%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.582%E +0.155%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 09:59
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.582%E +0.155%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +0.045%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.759%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.759%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.10%E -0.575%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.67%E -2.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 18:49
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:20
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:19
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.53%E -6.82%K -34.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.53%E -6.82%K -34.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 17:15
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:49
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.32%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 18:49
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 18:49
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.73%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:49
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:50
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:47
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:45
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:34
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:20
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:18
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-16 18:50
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-16 18:50
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-08-16 18:50
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-16 18:50