Idioma:Español
Brandon Nakashima v Aleksandar Kovacevic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Predicción 73.18%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -8.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.43%73.18%73.32%74.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.95%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante)
Predicción 26.82%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.582%
Ventaja +0.155%
Kelly +0.212%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%26.82%26.68%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.463.423.7530.77%28.89%29.24%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 73.18%; Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante): 26.82%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.73. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.582%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.582%E +0.155%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.582%E +0.155%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +0.045%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.759%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.759%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.10%E -0.575%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.67%E -2.01%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.53%E -6.82%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.53%E -6.82%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.32%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.95%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.73%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:47 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.58%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.14%E -3.16%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.80%E -6.19%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.87%E -3.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.60%E -4.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |