Language:English
Ben Shelton v Jaime Faria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prediction 80.54%1.24fair odd
EV -0.130%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.540%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.34%80.54%80.56%82.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.181.2488.50%84.82%84.75%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaime Faria (Visit)
Prediction 19.46%5.14fair odd
EV +5.86%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 5.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.58%19.46%19.44%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.784.805.4425.00%20.91%20.83%18.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 80.54%; Jaime Faria (Visit): 19.46%. For Jaime Faria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.42%EV -6.57%E -5.67%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.58%EV +5.86%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.077% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 23:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +2.16%E +0.412%K +0.509%G +0.011% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.19%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.19%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.757%E -0.149%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.83%EV -8.99%E -7.95%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.17%EV -0.952%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -1.73%E -0.343%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.77%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.23%EV -1.93%E -0.382%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -2.12%E -0.421%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -2.12%E -0.421%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.18%E -7.18%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.18%E -7.18%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.99%E -7.95%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 04:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.68%E -0.743%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.65%E -0.949%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 05:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 21:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.57%E -5.67%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.18%E -7.18%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.54%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.57%E -5.67%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 22:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 22:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 22:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.38%E -6.42%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 23:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.74%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 22:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.130%E -0.104%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.74%E -1.43%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.72% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.28% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |