Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton v Jaime Faria

Início: 2026-08-16 23:05 UTC

Final: Ben Shelton 0–2 Jaime Faria

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 80.54%1.24odd justa
EV -0.130%
Vantagem -0.104%
Kelly -0.540%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.34%80.54%80.56%82.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.181.181.2488.50%84.82%84.75%80.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jaime Faria (Visitante)

Previsão 19.46%5.14odd justa
EV +5.86%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.077%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.58%19.46%19.44%23.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.784.805.4425.00%20.91%20.83%18.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ben Shelton (Local): 80.54%; Jaime Faria (Visitante): 19.46%. Para Jaime Faria (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.14. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.44, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.42%EV -6.57%E -5.67%K -41.08%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.58%EV +5.86%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.077%4.6%2026-08-16 23:03
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +2.16%E +0.412%K +0.509%G +0.011%4.5%2026-08-16 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.19%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003%3.3%2026-08-16 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.19%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003%4.7%2026-08-16 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.757%E -0.149%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 23:00
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.83%EV -8.99%E -7.95%K -69.15%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.17%EV -0.952%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 05:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -1.73%E -0.343%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.77%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.23%EV -1.93%E -0.382%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -2.12%E -0.421%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -2.12%E -0.421%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 10:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.18%E -7.18%K -58.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 21:04
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.18%E -7.18%K -58.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.99%E -7.95%K -69.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.70%E -0.541%K -0.676%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 04:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.68%E -0.743%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.65%E -0.949%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 21:34
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 22:04
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.62%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 23:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:50
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:48
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 22:49
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 21:12
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.57%E -5.67%K -41.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.60%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 21:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.16%E -3.49%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:24
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.18%E -7.18%K -58.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.57%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.54%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 19:25
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.57%E -5.67%K -41.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.49%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 23:04
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:19
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 22:44
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 22:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 22:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.38%E -6.42%K -49.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:24
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.35%E -2.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.96%E -4.21%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.74%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 22:58
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.130%E -0.104%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 23:00
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.74%E -1.43%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-16 22:55
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-16 22:55
Novig◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.72%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.28%1.1%2026-08-16 22:55
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45%1.3%2026-08-16 23:00
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-08-16 22:55