StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Blockx v Mariano Navone

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 15:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Alexander Blockx 2–0 Mariano Navone

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Blockx (Hemma)

Prognos 57.11%1.75rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -1.03%
Kelly -2.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.26%57.20%57.14%60.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.671.671.7263.69%60.00%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Mariano Navone (Borta)

Prognos 42.89%2.33rättvist odds
EV +2.09%
Fördel +0.877%
Kelly +1.51%
Tillväxt +0.032%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%42.80%42.86%44.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.68%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Blockx (Hemma): 57.11%; Mariano Navone (Borta): 42.89%. För Mariano Navone (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.33. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.38, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.09%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +2.09%E +0.877%K +1.51%G +0.032%5.7%2026-08-15 15:04
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.486%E -0.209%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.63%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 07:04
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 07:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 07:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 07:04
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:24
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 06:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:19
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 07:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 14:58
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 04:04
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:15
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 06:59
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 15:04
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -8.64%E -4.05%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 05:09
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 14:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 14:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 14:59
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 15:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 14:55
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-08-15 15:00
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-15 14:50