StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Blockx v Mariano Navone

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 15:05 UTC

Endstand: Alexander Blockx 2–0 Mariano Navone

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Blockx (Heim)

Prognose 57.11%1.75faire Quote
EV -1.78%
Vorteil -1.03%
Kelly -2.47%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.26%57.20%57.14%60.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.671.671.7263.69%60.00%59.88%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Mariano Navone (Auswärts)

Prognose 42.89%2.33faire Quote
EV +2.09%
Vorteil +0.877%
Kelly +1.51%
Wachstum +0.032%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%42.80%42.86%44.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.68%45.45%42.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Blockx (Heim): 57.11%; Mariano Navone (Auswärts): 42.89%. Für Mariano Navone (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.33. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.38 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.09%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +2.09%E +0.877%K +1.51%G +0.032%5.7%2026-08-15 15:04
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.486%E -0.209%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.63%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 07:04
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 07:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 07:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 07:04
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:24
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 06:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:19
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 07:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 14:58
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 04:04
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:15
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 06:59
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 15:04
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -8.64%E -4.05%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 05:09
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 14:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 14:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 14:59
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 15:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 14:55
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-08-15 15:00
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-15 14:50