Idioma:Español
Alexander Blockx v Mariano Navone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Predicción 57.11%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.20%57.14%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7263.69%60.00%59.88%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 42.89%2.33momio equitativo
EV +2.09%
Ventaja +0.877%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%42.80%42.86%44.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.68%45.45%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Blockx (Local): 57.11%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 42.89%. Para Mariano Navone (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.33. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +2.09%E +0.877%K +1.51%G +0.032% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.486%E -0.209%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.63%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 07:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 15:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 04:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -8.64%E -4.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |