Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev v Novak Djokovic

2026-10-04 11:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 71.58%1.40quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -5.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.51%71.65%71.58%73.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.22%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Novak Djokovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.42%3.52quota equa
EV +2.33%
Vantaggio +0.646%
Kelly +0.895%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%28.35%28.42%30.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.383.353.6032.26%29.56%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Alexander Zverev (Casa): 71.58%; Novak Djokovic (Trasferta): 28.42%. Per Novak Djokovic (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.52. 20 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.60, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.33%.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%4.1%2026-10-03 16:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:01
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.8%2026-10-03 15:41
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:36
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:36
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.37%E -2.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 20:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 17:56
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.10%E -7.16%K -33.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -10.53%E -8.42%K -42.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 15:36
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -1.94%E -1.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -5.06%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-03 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.06%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.63%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:05
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 18:49
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 14:57
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.38%E -6.55%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -6.48%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 20:00
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.47%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 18:54
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 20:15
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 20:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-03 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.38%E -6.55%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-10-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-03 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-03 20:30
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-10-03 20:35
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-10-03 20:20