Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev v Novak Djokovic

2026-10-04 11:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 71.58%1.40cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.51%71.65%71.58%73.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.22%76.92%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.42%3.52cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.646%
Kelly +0.895%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%28.35%28.42%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.353.6032.26%29.56%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 71.58% ; Novak Djokovic (Visiteur) : 28.42%. Pour Novak Djokovic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.52. 20 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +2.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%4.1%2026-10-03 16:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.67%E -5.94%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.33%E +0.646%K +0.895%G +0.021%5.3%2026-10-03 18:01
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.8%2026-10-03 15:41
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:36
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.906%E +0.255%K +0.355%G +0.003%5.1%2026-10-03 15:36
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.37%E -2.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 20:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 17:56
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.10%E -7.16%K -33.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -10.53%E -8.42%K -42.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 15:36
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -1.94%E -1.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -5.06%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-03 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.06%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.63%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:05
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 18:49
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.76%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 14:57
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.38%E -6.55%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -6.48%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 20:00
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.47%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 18:54
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 20:15
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 20:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-03 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.38%E -6.55%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-10-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-03 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-03 20:30
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-10-03 20:35
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-10-03 20:20