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Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 84.76%1.18fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -32.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.94%84.95%84.80%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1391.74%90.29%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Visit)

Prediction 15.24%6.56fair odd
EV +14.29%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.314%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%15.05%15.20%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.516.257.5018.87%15.37%16.00%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Zverev (Local): 84.76%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 15.24%. For Cameron Norrie (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.56. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +14.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.953%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-09-28 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.34%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.66%EV -0.644%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 17:49
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.22%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.78%EV -1.56%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.47%E -0.386%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.761%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.76%E -0.761%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-28 17:49
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.890%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.890%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.04%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 18:39
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:49
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 17:49
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 17:50
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 17:48
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 17:49
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -19.23%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-28 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%11.7%2026-09-28 18:45