Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 85.88%1.16fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -22.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.88%85.79%87.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.101.101.1397.09%91.19%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visit)
Prediction 14.12%7.08fair odd
EV +7.29%
Edge +0.959%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 7.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.44%14.12%14.21%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.866.867.6018.18%14.57%14.58%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 85.88%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 14.12%. For Cameron Norrie (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.08. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -7.25%E -6.71%K -90.57%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV +7.29%E +0.959%K +1.10%G +0.080% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 05:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.87%E +0.783%K +0.904%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV +5.17%E +0.694%K +0.801%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -0.761%E -0.108%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 08:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 03:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 03:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 03:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.80%EV -8.96%E -8.46%K -149.39%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.20%EV -1.61%E -0.231%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.81%E -3.40%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -3.16%E -0.461%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-01 05:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.81%E -3.40%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -3.16%E -0.461%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-01 05:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.71%E -0.698%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 02:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.71%E -0.698%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 08:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.76%EV -11.54%E -11.20%K -384.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -4.71%E -0.698%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-30 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.42%E -0.809%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.42%E -0.809%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 02:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -5.42%E -0.809%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.56%EV -10.68%E -10.27%K -267.03%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.44%EV -5.42%E -0.809%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-30 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.55%EV -2.95%E -2.61%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.45%EV -5.56%E -0.831%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.14%EV -8.10%E -7.57%K -115.78%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 13.86%EV -6.13%E -0.921%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 02:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 23:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.25%E -6.71%K -90.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 07:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.25%E -6.71%K -90.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 07:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.25%E -6.71%K -90.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.24%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 07:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.95%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.39%E -5.86%K -70.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -9.65%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 08:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.77%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.25%E -6.71%K -90.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -11.77%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.67%E -4.21%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 07:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.53%E -5.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.95%E -2.61%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -18.83%E -3.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.81%E -3.40%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.83%E -3.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.81%E -3.40%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.83%E -3.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.81%E -3.40%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -22.36%E -4.07%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 08:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.20% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.80% | 1.5% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 2.4% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |