Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Testa a testa

28 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 84.76%1.18quota equa
EV -4.22%
Vantaggio -3.73%
Kelly -32.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.94%84.95%84.80%87.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.111.111.1391.74%90.29%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.24%6.56quota equa
EV +14.29%
Vantaggio +1.91%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescita +0.314%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.69%15.05%15.20%17.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.306.516.257.5018.87%15.37%16.00%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Alexander Zverev (Casa): 84.76%; Cameron Norrie (Trasferta): 15.24%. Per Cameron Norrie (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.56. 10 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 7.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +14.29%.

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +14.29%E +1.91%K +2.20%G +0.314%5.1%2026-09-28 18:39
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.953%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-09-28 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.34%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.66%EV -0.644%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 17:49
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.22%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.78%EV -1.56%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.47%E -0.386%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.761%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.76%E -0.761%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-28 17:49
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.890%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.890%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.04%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 18:39
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:49
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 17:49
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 17:50
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 17:48
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 17:49
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -19.23%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-28 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.