Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Molcan v Karen Khachanov

2026-10-02 05:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Molcan (Local)

Previsão 22.21%4.50odd justa
EV +2.18%
Vantagem +0.474%
Kelly +0.606%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.96%22.43%22.10%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.184.254.6026.67%23.93%23.53%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karen Khachanov (Visitante)

Previsão 77.79%1.29odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -7.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%77.57%77.90%79.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2685.47%81.89%81.97%79.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alex Molcan (Local): 22.21%; Karen Khachanov (Visitante): 77.79%. Para Alex Molcan (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.50. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.60, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.18%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.18%E +0.474%K +0.606%G +0.013%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 10:35
DraftKings🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV +0.849%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 07:59
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.039%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 13:14
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.039%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 08:15
GTbets🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -0.928%E -0.208%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 08:55
Pinnacle🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -1.59%E -0.360%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 10:11
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 11:05
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 09:36
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 13:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.32%E -3.51%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 14:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 09:50
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 07:55
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-01 14:29
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.32%E -3.51%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:24
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:25
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:24
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.81%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.32%E -3.51%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:25
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-01 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.99%E -7.68%K -52.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 15:20
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 08:49
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:45
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 08:50
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 09:25
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:55
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 12:15
SportsBet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -11.59%E -2.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.99%E -1.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:25
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 14:25
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 08:54
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 08:54
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-10-01 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-10-01 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-10-01 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-10-01 15:05
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-10-01 14:25