Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Molcan v Karen Khachanov

2026-10-02 05:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Molcan (Local)

Prévision 22.21%4.50cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.474%
Kelly +0.606%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.96%22.43%22.10%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.184.254.6026.67%23.93%23.53%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.79%1.29cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -7.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.00%77.57%77.90%79.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2685.47%81.89%81.97%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alex Molcan (Local) : 22.21% ; Karen Khachanov (Visiteur) : 77.79%. Pour Alex Molcan (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.50. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.60, pour une espérance positive de +2.18%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.18%E +0.474%K +0.606%G +0.013%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 10:35
DraftKings🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV +0.849%E +0.187%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 07:59
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.039%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 13:14
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.039%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 08:15
GTbets🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -0.928%E -0.208%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 08:55
Pinnacle🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -1.59%E -0.360%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 10:11
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:10
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 11:05
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -27.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.48%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 09:36
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 13:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.32%E -3.51%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 14:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 09:50
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.59%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 07:55
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-01 14:29
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.32%E -3.51%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:24
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:25
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:24
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.81%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.32%E -3.51%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:25
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-01 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.99%E -7.68%K -52.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 15:20
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 08:49
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:45
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 08:50
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 09:25
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:55
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 12:15
SportsBet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -11.59%E -2.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.99%E -1.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:25
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.54%E -2.86%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.77%E -2.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 14:25
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 08:54
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 08:54
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.70%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-10-01 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-10-01 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-10-01 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-10-01 15:05
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-10-01 14:25