Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +0.836%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%27.99%27.89%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6632.26%29.80%29.85%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 72.07%1.39fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.01%72.11%73.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.331.3678.74%75.72%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 27.93%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 72.07%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +2.22%E +0.607%K +0.836%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV +0.827%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.548%E +0.152%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.548%E +0.152%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.548%E +0.152%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.69%E -0.479%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.69%E -0.479%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.75%E -6.05%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.75%E -6.05%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.59%E -4.27%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.47%E -6.67%K -31.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.16%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.59%E -4.27%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.59%E -4.27%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.71%E -2.00%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 09:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |