Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zizou Bergs (Local): 27.93%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 72.07%. Para Zizou Bergs (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.58. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.22%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +2.22%E +0.607%K +0.836%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV +0.827%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.548%E +0.152%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.548%E +0.152%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.548%E +0.152%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.69%E -0.479%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.69%E -0.479%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.75%E -6.05%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.75%E -6.05%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.59%E -4.27%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.47%E -6.67%K -31.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.16%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.59%E -4.27%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.03%E -5.45%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.59%E -4.27%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.71%E -2.00%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.43%E -2.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.31%E -4.85%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 09:54 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |