Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 2.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michael Zheng (Local): 56.03%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 43.97%. For Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.07%E -0.476%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.07%E -0.476%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.07%E -0.476%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 09:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.39%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
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