Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Michael Zheng v Miomir Kecmanovic

Início: 2026-08-02 15:05 UTC

Final: Michael Zheng 1–2 Miomir Kecmanovic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Michael Zheng (Local)

Previsão 56.03%1.78odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%56.06%55.99%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.41%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Previsão 43.97%2.27odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.476%
Kelly -0.856%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%43.94%44.01%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.182.2548.78%46.31%45.87%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Michael Zheng (Local): 56.03%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante): 43.97%. Para Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.27. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.25, com valor esperado de -1.07%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:59
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.07%E -0.476%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.07%E -0.476%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.07%E -0.476%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 08:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:55
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:55
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 09:15
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:24
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.39%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:15
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:14
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 12:53
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 08:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:04
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:35
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-02 15:03
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-02 15:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-08-02 15:00