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Learner Tien v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Learner Tien (Хозяева)
Прогноз 66.90%1.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.33%
Преимущество -1.60%
Kelly -5.07%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.90%66.87%66.97%68.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.24%69.93%68.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Гости)
Прогноз 33.10%3.02справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.687%
Преимущество -0.229%
Kelly -0.343%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.19%33.13%33.03%35.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.852.853.0037.04%35.13%35.09%33.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Learner Tien (Хозяева): 66.90%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Гости): 33.10%. Для исхода «Thiago Agustin Tirante (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.02. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.00, математическое ожидание — -0.687%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.33%E -1.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -3.00%E -2.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -1.35%E -0.453%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.00%E -2.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.00%E -2.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.33%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:37 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.31%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 03:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 03:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 03:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.99%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.99%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 03:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.31%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.35%E -6.10%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |