Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Início: 2026-08-09 18:15 UTC

Final: Learner Tien 2–0 Thiago Agustin Tirante

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 66.90%1.49odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -5.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.90%66.87%66.97%68.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.24%69.93%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Previsão 33.10%3.02odd justa
EV -0.687%
Vantagem -0.229%
Kelly -0.343%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.19%33.13%33.03%35.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.852.853.0037.04%35.13%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Learner Tien (Local): 66.90%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 33.10%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.00, com valor esperado de -0.687%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.33%E -1.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -3.00%E -2.07%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -1.35%E -0.453%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.00%E -2.07%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.00%E -2.07%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:25
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.33%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:28
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.67%E -2.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:30
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:30
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:37
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 17:40
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.31%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 03:45
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 03:45
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.34%E -0.794%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 03:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.99%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.99%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:30
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.31%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.35%E -6.10%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:35
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.687%E -0.229%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-08-09 17:45
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-08-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-08-09 17:20
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%2.4%2026-08-09 17:40