Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Thiago Agustin Tirante

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Predicción 68.30%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -7.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.50%68.28%68.18%69.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.371.361.4274.63%72.91%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Predicción 31.70%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.558%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.18%31.72%31.82%33.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1037.04%33.36%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Learner Tien (Local): 68.30%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 31.70%. Para Learner Tien (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.46. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.49, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.77%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV +1.77%E +1.19%K +3.61%G +0.064%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -17.58%E -6.76%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 08:30
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -2.37%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 08:31
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 08:34
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:30
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:20
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.06%E -3.64%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.06%E -3.64%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 08:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.06%E -3.64%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.06%E -3.64%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.75%E -4.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.24%E -4.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:25
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:25
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:25
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.83%E -4.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 08:30
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.83%E -4.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -14.41%E -5.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 08:35
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -3.63%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 08:25
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:25
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -1.73%E -0.558%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:31
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%4.9%2026-08-08 08:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%7.4%2026-08-08 08:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%7.4%2026-08-08 08:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%7.4%2026-08-08 08:25
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%8.7%2026-08-08 08:25
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.52%10.7%2026-08-08 08:25