Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 1.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 27.86%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 72.14%. For Jenson Brooksby (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.294%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.294%E +0.082%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -0.820%E -0.230%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.33%E -2.49%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -1.38%E -0.389%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.33%E -2.49%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.05%E -0.876%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.88%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.88%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.88%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.43%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.57%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 06:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 10:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.61%E -1.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 07:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.89%E -1.39%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |