Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jenson Brooksby v Ben Shelton

2026-08-05 16:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Predicción 24.75%4.04momio equitativo
EV +3.94%
Ventaja +0.937%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.65%24.74%24.75%27.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.813.884.2028.99%26.27%25.74%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 75.25%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -7.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.63%75.26%75.25%77.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.3081.97%79.79%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 24.75%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 75.25%. Para Jenson Brooksby (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.04. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.94%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.94%E +0.937%K +1.23%G +0.048%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.44%E -6.05%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:04
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +2.70%E +0.650%K +0.857%G +0.023%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.69%E -5.39%K -27.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:04
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.46%E +0.356%K +0.471%G +0.007%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.43%E -3.49%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 00:30
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.01%E -0.253%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:05
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.01%E -0.253%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:25
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.01%E -0.253%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:54
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.01%E -0.253%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.69%E -5.39%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.01%E -0.253%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.19%E -6.71%K -37.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:04
1xBet3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -1.76%E -0.442%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.43%E -3.49%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 20:05
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.25%E -0.570%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:04
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.25%E -0.570%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.25%E -0.570%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.99%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:05
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.43%E -3.49%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 18:23
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:15
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:59
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:00
GTbets3.87I 25.84%NM 24.12%EV -4.23%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.88%EV -7.44%E -6.05%K -32.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:24
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.73%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:35
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.49%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:25
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:05
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:25
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 18:40
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:05
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 01:55
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.69%E -5.39%K -27.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:10
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.44%E -6.05%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:00
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.44%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.44%E -6.05%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:14
ReBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.44%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.44%E -6.05%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:05
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.92%E -2.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.92%E -2.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:44
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.92%E -2.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.92%E -2.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:59
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:40
betano_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 18:23
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 18:24
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 01:34
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.93%E -4.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 20:30
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.19%E -6.71%K -37.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 20:05
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.19%E -6.71%K -37.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 20:05
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.39%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.17%E -1.67%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.68%E -2.87%K -13.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:24
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.68%E -2.87%K -13.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:25
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.17%E -1.67%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-08-05 02:40
ProphetX4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-08-05 02:40
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-08-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%4.3%2026-08-05 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%5.2%2026-08-05 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%5.2%2026-08-05 02:10
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%9.0%2026-08-05 02:10