Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jenson Brooksby v Ben Shelton

Inicio: 2026-08-05 17:27 UTC

Final: Jenson Brooksby 0–2 Ben Shelton

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV +0.294%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.83%27.95%27.90%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.62%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 72.14%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -5.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%72.05%72.10%73.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.321.321.3677.52%75.86%75.76%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 27.86%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 72.14%. Para Jenson Brooksby (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.59. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.294%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.294%E +0.082%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -0.820%E -0.230%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.33%E -2.49%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 16:45
SportsBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -1.38%E -0.389%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:14
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.33%E -2.49%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 16:55
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 14:15
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 13:24
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.49%E -0.712%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:35
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.05%E -0.876%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.88%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.88%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.88%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:48
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:35
GTbets🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.43%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.57%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:35
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 16:15
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:15
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:05
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:34
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:34
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:34
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:35
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:05
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:10
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:35
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 06:14
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 10:50
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 12:05
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:55
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 16:05
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 12:05
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:05
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:05
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.94%E -5.38%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 08:10
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 10:09
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 10:30
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.61%E -1.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:14
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.05%E -3.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:15
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.77%E -3.62%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 07:35
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 07:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.22%E -4.78%K -20.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 07:40
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.89%E -1.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-05 16:15
ProphetX◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-08-05 16:55
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78%1.2%2026-08-05 17:00
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-08-05 17:05